![]() If the Patriots win and they’re your first bet, then yes, you’ll go 1-1 as you would with a straight bet and end up in the same position (-$10). However, with an if bet, if the losing bet is your first choice, then you end up losing $110 even if you go 1-1. In any scenario, you’re still down $10 after those two bets. In other words, let’s say the Patriots win and the Packers lose. The way you place your bets with if bets can hurt you and that further drops your percentages (in comparison to straight bets).įor example, with your straight bets, we’ve established that going 1-1 will drop you -$10 regardless of which team you bet first or second. Taking our comparison one step further with if bets and straight bets, the challenge with the former is that sequence is not in your favor. You could lose $220-double what you would with an if bet-but that’s only a 25% shot. With your straight bets, you still have a 75% chance of losing money but in 75% of the outcomes, you’ll only be down $10 or you’ll win $200. In short, with an if bet, you have a 75% chance of losing money and a 50% chance of losing at least $110. ![]() However, it’s the bottom two where things are different. ![]() As you can see, the first two scenarios land you in the same place. Without diving too much into the analytics, the smarter decision is to play these two games as straight bets.
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